The field of economic models and forecasting encompasses the development and application of theoretical, empirical and computational frameworks to predict future economic outcomes. These models range ...

The absence of reliable data on fundamental economic indicators (e.g. real GDP), combined with structural shifts in the economy, can severely constrain the ability to conduct accurate macroeconomic ...

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis estimated that real GDP contracted at an annualized rate of 0.3 percent in Q1 2025, the first negative reading since Q1 2022. The ...

Introduction: Moving Beyond Predictive Accuracy  Prediction has been traditionally the backbone of applied data science. From ...

Stock markets are essential for households for wealth creation and for firms for raising financial resources for capacity ...

CEO of Paul M. Wendee & Associates, LLC; Publisher of the Intrinsic Value Wealth Report Newsletter; Founder of the Value Driver Institute. To make sound business and investment decisions, business ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Ingmar Rentzhog is the CEO and founder of We Don’t Have Time. An actuary uses mathematics, statistics, and financial theory to ...

Sweden’s central bank, the Riksbank, is embracing a transformative shift in economic forecasting, as recent findings from its Monetary Policy Department reveal that artificial intelligence (AI)-based ...

LINCOLN, Neb. (Nebraska Examiner) - An updated Nebraska economic forecast on Friday offered the Legislature up to $165 million in potential new revenue to help shrink the state’s anticipated budget ...

ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood is calling for an economic “Goldilocks” scenario in 2026, forecasting real GDP growth surging toward 5%, accompanied by falling inflation—and potentially outright ...

Economist and strategist Albert Edwards has raised alarms about the US economy, pointing to three critical charts that suggest a potential downturn. These charts highlight underlying vulnerabilities ...