The Public Opinion Quarterly, Vol. 82, No. 4 (Winter 2018), pp. 707-744 (38 pages) Many studies in various countries have found that telephone and internet surveys of probability samples yielded data ...

Pew Research Center designed this study to assess the current state of online survey sampling methods – both probability-based and opt-in – and determine their accuracy on general population estimates ...

Our third Methods 101 video explores some of the ways that nonprobability surveys differ from traditional probability-based polls. How do pollsters conduct surveys online and what does that mean for ...

Nonparametric methods provide a flexible framework for estimating the probability density function of random variables without imposing a strict parametric model. By relying directly on observed data, ...

Mark Blumenthal and Natalie Jackson of Huffpost Pollster write: If you read polls in the news, you’re probably familiar with the term “margin of error.” What ...

Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...

After my post the other day on tracking public opinion with biased polls, someone pointed me to this 2011 article by David Yeager, Jon Krosnick, LinChiat Chang, Harold Javitz, Matthew Levendusky, ...

The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, Vol. 30, No. 1 (Mar., 1959), pp. 102-119 (18 pages) The problem of selecting the multinomial event which has the highest probability is formulated as a ...

David Harper is the CEO and founder of Bionic Turtle. He is also a published author with a popular YouTube channel on expert finance topics. Almost regardless of your view about the predictability or ...