The probability of a 30% U.S. stock market drop in the next year is estimated at 8%, based on options market-derived methodology. Survey and pundit-based crash probabilities are notably higher, but ...

The S&P 500 (SPY) is riding a multi-year rally, but rising risks warrant caution heading into 2026. Key economic indicators—ISM manufacturing, household debt, and surging delinquencies — signal ...

The Total Stock Market ETF is more diversified than an S&P 500 index fund. Large-cap value stocks tend to hold up well during stock market sell-offs. The consumer staples sector contains many ...

If things seem too good to be true on Wall Street, history shows they probably are. For the better part of the last 16 years, the U.S. stock market has been unstoppable. Outside of the COVID-19 crash, ...

With a third straight year of double-digit gains almost assured for 2025, the stock market enters the new year with enough momentum to make it a fourth-straight winning season. The favorable stock ...