This paper develops a new data-driven metric to capture MacroEconomic Uncertainty (MEU) in the euro area. The measure is constructed as the conditional volatility of the unforecastable components of a ...

If we tallied up the most common words we’ve used on this show over the last handful of years, “uncertainty” would rank high on the list. We’ve used it to describe what’s happening in the housing ...

When COVID-19 arrived, researchers tried to build evolutionary family trees – known as phylogenetic trees – of the virus. These help scientists understand when new virus strains appear and how they ...