This paper develops a new data-driven metric to capture MacroEconomic Uncertainty (MEU) in the euro area. The measure is constructed as the conditional volatility of the unforecastable components of a ...

It had become something of a cliché to say that investors hate uncertainty — at least until the confusion surrounding President Donald Trump’s on-again, off-again tariff plans left them grasping for a ...

If we tallied up the most common words we’ve used on this show over the last handful of years, “uncertainty” would rank high on the list. We’ve used it to describe what’s happening in the housing ...

Backers of Oregon’s gun control Measure 114 declared a major victory this week, but uncertainty lies ahead with months of legal wrangling and rule-making likely to delay the start well into next year, ...

The authors do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their ...

When COVID-19 arrived, researchers tried to build evolutionary family trees – known as phylogenetic trees – of the virus. These help scientists understand when new virus strains appear and how they ...