Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.
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There are plenty of small negatives which do not add up to a recession. The recession risk comes from the continued back-and-forth from the White House about what tariffs will be. If summer turns to ...
“U.S. Economic Growth Expected to Flatline in 2025. Tariffs Are the Main Reason.” – Barron’s (April 15, 2025) “If they don’t change the tariffs, it’s going to be an extinction-level, ...
The U.S. economy is likely already in a recession, masked by AI-driven capex and delayed official recognition by the NBER. The Leading Economic Index and jobs data are flashing clear recession signals ...
Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Quantitative Finance Program Director, at Stevens Inst. of Technology This is not a new diagnosis. There is today a hapless ...
Economists say it will take time for the effects of trade policies to show up in economic data — but acknowledge they aren’t sure how long. Credit...Photo Illustration by ALVARO DOMINGUEZ; PHOTOS VIA ...