Epistemic decision theory integrates formal models of rational belief with the processes of decision‐making under uncertainty. It addresses how agents should revise their credences in light of new and ...

In this paper I study two ways of transforming decision problems on the basis of previously adopted intentions, ruling out incompatible options and imposing a standard of relevance, with a particular ...

Should defendants be convicted based on merely statistical evidence? To what extent are individuals responsible for group harms? Can voting in a non-swing state be justified? Are cosmological theories ...

Decision analysis looks at the paradigm in which an individual decision maker (or decision group) contemplates a choice of action in an uncertain environment. The theory of decision analysis is ...

BOSTON, MA—Howard Raiffa, Harvard University’s Frank Plumpton Ramsey Professor of Managerial Economics Emeritus (a joint endowed chair at Harvard Business School and Harvard Kennedy School), who was ...