The “presidential lean” of a state can, over time, tell us something about how it is trending.— Though 2004 and 2024 produced similar topline national results, there has been some significant change ...

The United States Does Not Have One National Presidential Election Left: Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign rally in Philadelphia, Pa., November 4, 2024.

For one, state control ensures that the United States’ presidential election is a complex, multitiered, and multimonth process—encompassing voting, counting, and certification—the bulk of which falls ...