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FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. nrakich (Nathaniel Rakich, senior elections analyst): For a long time,… ...

FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

Voting Rights How Majority-Minority Districts Fueled Diversity In Congress And why people of color are winning more seats outside of those districts too.

Democrats aren’t thrilled with the idea of President Biden as their nominee again, but he’s not yet drawn a serious challenger. Yuri Gripas / Abaca / Bloomberg via Getty Images ...

Tim Scott hasn’t come close to the GOP front-runners National poll results for a hypothetical 2024 Republican presidential primary from April 18-May 17, 2023 ...

The vanguard of American conservatism is Florida — at least, according to its governor. The state is on “the front lines in the battle for freedom,” Gov. Ron De… ...

Before we reveal the best- and worst-rated pollsters, let’s start with our regular review of polling accuracy overall. We analyzed virtually all polls conducted in the final 21 days 1 before ...

The Details Longtime readers of FiveThirtyEight are probably familiar with our pollster ratings: letter grades that we assign to pollsters based on their histor… ...

Inflation isn’t under control, and we’re heading for a recession. Except, wait: The latest jobs report indicates that the labor market is healthier than it’s be… ...

But if baseball uniquely benefited from the era of increasingly lucrative local-TV rights deals, the sport could also find its financial situation uniquely disrupted by current trends in the ...