The United States announced new, higher tariff rates this year. Tariffs can affect supply chains, investment, and firms’ ...

We show that the underlying source of inflation impacts financial market perceptions of the persistence of monetary policy ...

Economic conditions in the Twelfth District were mixed during the October to mid-November reporting period. Employment levels ...

On the labor market, I don’t feel as confident we can get ahead of it. It’s vulnerable enough now that the risk is it’ll have ...

Economic activity in the Twelfth District edged down slightly during the mid-August to September reporting period. Employment levels were little changed on net as most employers held head counts ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. This site presents a weekly and monthly series of the proxy funds rate, following Doh and Choi (2016), Choi, Doh, Foerster, and Martinez ...

To better understand the potential impacts of AI on the economy, this analysis assesses workers likely to be exposed to AI on ...

The SF Fed engages with businesses and communities across the region to gather real-time information on local economic ...

The unemployment rate has risen over half a percentage point since the second quarter of 2023. Individual survey data underlying the unemployment rate can help in assessing which labor market ...

Temporary layoffs accounted for essentially the entire increase in unemployment to its historically high rate in April 2020. Although the rate has come down since its peak, unemployment remains well ...

The 2021 Diary of Consumer Payment Choice (Diary) finds that the COVID-19 pandemic has continued to affect the way U.S. consumers use and hold cash. The share of payments made in cash dropped sharply ...

Employment growth has consistently come in above pre-pandemic estimates of the rate needed for unemployment to stay near its long-run natural rate. Even so, unemployment has held steady, which raises ...